LETTERS FROM THE BIG BLIND
LETTERS FROM THE BIG BLIND Features articles written for MOX POKER by Charles E Allen
OH WHAT A NIGHT ...
This is going to be one of those bittersweet tirades, moaning and rejoicing at the same time. The CCS final table went last night and, oh, what a night. A murder’s row of opponents, making this one of the most difficult, exciting and frustrating event’s I’ve played in a long time.
As everyone already knows, Duane took down the final table, blending his poker skills with a series of cards which no one could overcome for very long. As Duane himself admits, he didn’t play perfectly, he made mistakes, but the deck was simply hitting him in the face so hard throughout the tournament that no one could catch up for very long. He took Dobie out with AA, he took me out with 77 and he took cole out with 77. Those are the hands I remember from the eliminations. He had 22 at least four times that he showed. He showed KK numerous times, as well as a variety of other pocket pairs.
The odds of getting dealt a pocket pair are 16-1. So on average you are supposed to get a pocket pair around once every 16 hands or so. Cole had one pocket pair all night (10-10). I fared marginally better with five or six pockets pairs, including my last hand when a cold deck ran my 33 in Duane’s 77 three handed. With half hour blind levels and playing somewhere around 24 hands every level (three times around the table), the number of PP’s Duane got dealt was simply staggering. The odds of getting KK dealt is 110-1. Duane got it dealt to him twice in a row, and he hasn’t told anyone how many times throughout the night.
This is not a Duane rant, because he played all of his hands well enough to position himself to take it all down. He stayed patient despite a number of distractions (including prior engagements which were constantly reminding him of his responsibilities) with text messages all night. It helps, however, to have really good starting hands. This is especially true when you have the confidence that when you get involved in a hand, your hand is most likely ahead of your opponents range.
If I haven't said it before, Congratulations Duane. Well earned.
So, the tournament started fifteen minutes late to accommodate the two table tournament Darryl was running (with Bob’s help initially).
No one was really getting out of hand, if you exclude Bedford donking off his chips to Duane, Carol and Steve. Actually, donking is a misnomer here, cause Bed was ahead in most of the hands and got rivered pretty much every time.
Level 1 through 4 went pretty quietly with no one really taking an extreme lead. Big stacks at that point were Duane and Dan. Bed was down to about 12-15K and the blinds were slowing creeping up. Carol stack was starting to slip a bit, and I noticed Mark having some trouble as well. Steve was slowly increasing his stack and I was pin balling in between my starting stack of 35 K and 45K for most of these levels.
No one was being extremely aggressive, but there wasn’t much passive play either. Few hands were making it to the river, and all of those hands would be head’s up hands. No one was really playing massive pots, either. Small ball poker seemed to be the norm, as everyone was trying to get an edge over the other players.
After coming back from the break, Steve opened up his game a bit, probably because he was starting to get some cards. Didn’t work though as he was the first one out in level 6 or thereabouts (yup three hours into the tournament before the first elimination). Someone else will have to describe his exit, because I can’t remember who took him out or the hand involved.
Next to go was Bedford who pushed his hand against Duane and lost. Again, I can’t remember the hand, but Bed pushed the rest of his smallish stack in the middle coming over the top of Duane’s continuation bet on the flop. Bed had position, but not the winning hand and he was out.
Carol was nursing a really short stack by this time and trying to find places to put all her stack in for a double up. She eventually did in level 7 (500-1000) and was auto-called by Duane. Guess who won. The hand was a coin flip and Duane (obviously) came out on top.
Down to five players, things really started to get interesting. Mark was now the extreme short stack, running about 12K into blinds of 800-1600. I’d been making an extra special effort to raise his BB from my button, every time I figured my hand was better than Dan’s (sb). I ran into a couple of substantial Dan re-raises which I had to fold too, but for the most part, Mark was letting me take his BB without complaint.
Mark did, however manage to increase his 12K stack to about 16K before his final ouster. However, an interesting hand developed between Duane and Dan first. On a 7K7 board, Dan checked in early position. After some thought, Duane bet out at this flop, only to face a slow and deliberate check raise from Dan. Duane spent some time weighing his options then went all in. Dan, again after considering the hand called off the rest of his chips, quite a substantial stack, and tabled KQ for top pair good kicker. Duane, however, tabled AA and the board bricked out for Dan. He bubbled.
Both players played this hand exceptionally well, but Duane in particular, as there simply was no way you could put him on AA there.
So now, with four players remaining, I’m sitting on a stack of about 42K, Mark has about 15K, Cole and Duane much larger and the blinds are at 1K- 2K. Mark has just made the money and I tangle with Duane. I have 99, didn’t get to see his hand, as his aggressive betting throughout the hand made it impossible for me to call his river bet. I lost half my stack and I was in danger of going out before Mark.
I had 24K left, and I started to push the envelope just a tad. I got extremely lucky in one hand with a K8 when I pushed all in pre-flop to be called by Duane with a QJ (what a donkey!!). He, however, hit his J on the flop and I had to river a straight when he hit his Q, for top 2 pair. This is the one hand where I lost my cool and started sputtering abuse at the poker gods. Someone must have heard because I won the hand, but had to suck-out big time to do it. Sorry if I went off on you Duane, it wasn’t aimed at your play, just my luck in these types of situations.
In any event, this hand put me back into the tournament with 54K or so. The blinds went up, and without playing a hand Mark went from 15K down to 4500 pretty quickly. In his last BB, Cole called the 3000, Duane folded and I looked down at AK. Yeah, I know that I’m supposed to just call here, but I wanted to see if I could entice Cole into a bigger pot. I raised. Mark folded his hand, leaving 1500 behind. Cole folded as well. Oh well.
Mark went out on the next hand for only his small blind when Cole made a straight on the river with the same card which made me trips.
Three handed was simply a war of attrition. I started with about 50K and managed to work my stack up to about 85K -90K. At one point, with the blind level just changing to 2k-4K, a count down of the chips had all three of us equal. The action went, raise fold fold, fold raise fold, check raise fold. With every three hands costing 6K, very few hands were making it to the river. Position was king, unfortunately, the cards weren’t cooperating as Cole and I were constantly looking at hands like 83off. I made a few moves forcing Duane or Cole to make decisions, mostly in position, and with hands which weren’t completely hopeless. But I was still being ground down. With the blinds at 3K-6K, Duane started getting frustrated and threatening to catch me making a move. When I was down to about 62K in the BB, I looked down at 33 after Duane limped into the hand. I re-raised. He went all in, I called and he tabled 77. No help and I was gone in 3rd.
Duane now had about a 2-1 chip lead on Cole. And the tournament was over before the end of the level on a coin flip hand Duane won with another 77.
I’ll let Cole describe his heads up battle with Duane as I was steaming a bit and decided to sit down at the cash table waiting for the tourney to end. I was bounced out at about 1:15 (kinda exactly cause I looked at my watch and knew my wife wouldn’t be happy.
So, I bought in to the cash game for $99.50 ($100.00) and this is what happened.
I played until a couple of minutes after 2:00. First hand I get dealt QQ on the button. There is a straddle from Darryl and a call from Bob in front of me and I raise to $12.00. Everyone else gets out of the way except for Darryl and Bob who call. Flop AQ8, one diamond two spades. Two checks and I bet out $15. Two callers. Turn is the 8 of diamonds. I’m thinking my hand is pretty good here. Two checks, I bet out $25. Two calls. River is the case Q of diamonds. Darryl goes all in from first position for $48.00. I’m waiting for Bob who did eventually muck his hand. I call and stack Darryl who hit his diamond flush on the river. I’ve increased my stack to about $250.00 on the first hand.
Play a couple of hands, take some down, have to fold others. Pretty much standard no harm no foul type grinding poker, when I find myself on the button again, this time with an 86 off. Again there is a straddle from Darryl and again Bob limps. I just limp this time and we go to the flop with five players, including Mark and Scott. Flop come 6J8. Blinds check, Darryl checks, Bob puts out a four dollar bet which I raise to 15. Everyone else folds and Bob re-raises to $50. Nice!!. Knowing how Bob plays these types of hands, I put him on a big pp and decide to push. I re-raise him another $80 or so on top of his $50.00. He makes the call. Turn, your guessed it, an 8. Bob goes all in and I call off the rest of my stack. He tables QQ and the harmless 5 on the river gives me the pot. Bob still has chips behind, but I’ve now doubled up again.
Couple of hands later (may actually have been the very next hand), I get 88, Bob goes all in for $40 or so, and I call, knowing I’m likely flipping for the $40. Not the best play in the world, but I was felling generous. Bob’s hand doesn’t improve and I take the rest of his stack.
The rest was pretty uneventful (as if I needed to have any more events) and I called it a night about 2.:10 and cashed out $490.00. Along with cashing at the final table (worth $330.00) I booked a $720.00 win.
Oh what a night. The only thing I wish is that I got those three hands against Duane and Cole and had taken the tournament down. I made more in 45 minutes at the cash table than I did in the previous 6 hours playing the final table.
Now its everyone else’s job to bug Duane to write about his evening. You’ll have to ask him to go into detail, because he has a really short attention span and probably skipped most of this column and is now reading this.
OK, IF ANYONE HAS ANY COMMENTS TO MAKE AFTER READING ANY OF MY MEANDERINGS, EXCEPT CALLING ME A DONKEY WHICH YOU MAY REFER TO RICK, PLEASE DROP ME A LINE AT ceallen@shaw.ca
SHHHH .... BE WERY WERY QUIET!
Wow, the board has been very quiet of late. Not much new since I got back form Vacation.
Strange, because, at least for our little group tings have been thriving. The Mox is in full swing and the CCS is winding down its 3rd season. The jousting for the final table of the CCS is actually quite fun to watch.
The positioning on the Mox is less important for me because I missed two tournaments and have little chance of finishing in the top spot. I’m in 7th place, pretty good for someone who has missed almost half of the tournaments played. I think I need to finish higher than 3rd in all of the remaining tournaments to have any realistic chance of winning player of the year. I will, however, be looking to the Final Mox to win the bracelet. Would look good with the bracelet I won earlier this year.
The CCS is a marvel to behold.the only spot that is secure right now is 5th place. Duane sits in fifth and can’t be reached by anyone below him and can’t realistically catch anyone above him. Don’t take this as gospel truth but the best he can hope for is an adjusted total of 276 points and 3 players are securely above that mark now.
Bed is in 6th and can be reached by Steve (who is the only member of the top 8 players who will not lose any points. Steve, who came to us midway through the season has put through an amazingly consistent stretch of tournaments which has landed him in the top eight. Unfortunately, one bad tournament and its over. He’s sitting in 7th, 2 points ahead of 8th and four points ahead of 9th and 10th.
After 20 tournaments, 10 players have a realistic shot at the final table and Bob, in 11th, could squeek out a spot with a win and combination collapse by 3 of the four people above him. Don’t count him out yet.
At the top, Cole remains the cream of the crop for the 3rd week in a row. Charles (third person, yeah I know), and Mark all made the final table last week. Carol went out just before the consolidation. Any of these four players could reach the top next week. If Cole finishes higher than all three, he wins. Charles and Carol are hampered by number that they have to drop in relation to Mark’s. Running the number as they now stand without any additional point, Mark finishes in 2nd ahead of Carol and Charles, but can’t quite reach Cole.
So, the tournament on October 23rd, 2009 at Harmon Avenue will determine a lot. 1st place, last place and pretty much everything in between. An exciting time to be playing. Much better than having everything determined long ago.
Here are a couple of Stats.
The Membership in the tournament series has grown every year its been run. There are now over 70 players registered as member sin the CCS.
No winner of the final table has made the final table for the next year. Rick L. Won in year 1 and Bob won last year.
Only two players have made every final table every year that the CCS has been played. Cole and Duane. Carol came the closest of anyone in making this three players, but got edged out by me in the first year by 1 point when I had to win the final tournament to move on. That was a heart breaker for both of us. I had actually challenged her to an on the spot heads up match. I can’t remember why we didn’t play.
The this years final table may have four newbies to the table: Mark, Bed Junior and Steve. This means that 5 new chip CCS chips may be distributed at the final table (4 Stainless ones for the newbies and the Silver one for the Winner.
Rick was the only winner not to get a chip because they hadn’t been made yet.
This year, the top tournament money winners are in order (I seem to recall) Me, Duane, Dobie and Cole. Steve is no slouch either.
Well, good luck to everyone on the 23rd and at the final table.
THE MONEYMAKER EFFECT (NOT TO BE CONFUSED WITH THE MONEY MAKER EFFECT .... Oh wait, does a space mean anything?)
I’ve put this particular question to the boys, but haven’t gotten any kind of a positive response. Maybe they will or maybe they won’t. Would be nice if Duane actually bothered to put something online rather than taking up space, as he normally does at the poker table (oh, wait. Sorry Duane, that’s Mark.).
Chris Moneymaker. The man who supposedly launched the poker boom single handedly. I have been watching and reading a lot of commentary about Chris as a player, the majority of it bad. Internet forums primarily are really hard on Chris, mostly of the "Donkeyish" variety. As well, most of the commentary is pretty much summarized by him being, at the same time, the luckiest player around and the worst player around. While I haven’t seen him play much recently, I still have to reserve the worst player moniker to Jamie Gold. I think the luckiest player moniker also fits.
Since Moneymaker won his Championship, the following players have won the WSOP Main Event. Greg Raymer (decent performances but no outright big wins since the 2004 WSOP). Joe Hachem (the whiniest player - other than Helmuth which is a given and should always be assumed when I say the word "whine" or any of its variations - around but has some success including a win at the Bellagio Five Diamond Classic a couple of years ago. Jamie Gold (need I say more - I think he lost all of the money he won on High Stakes Poker) Jerry Yang (non-entity) and Peter Eastgate (Jury is still out.)
As an aside, the ‘09 version of the final table includes a couple of outright pros or semi-pro celebrity figures. Most notable is Phil Ivey. My opinion here is that I would love to see Phil take it down. Different topic, however.
Back to Chris. If you haven’t seen the final table of the ‘03 WSOP, I have a copy of it on DVD which I wont tell you how I got. Picture this, Sammy Farha heads-up against Chris. Classic money game player v. internet qualifier wannabe. Pro v. Amateur. Old School v. New School.
The best hand of this tournament was Moneymaker’s bluff of Farha that was heard around the world. Whether you agree with the move or not, think Moneymaker was a Donkey for doing what he did or actually think that Moneymaker thought the move through before bluffing a player who could lay down a marginal hand on a dangerous board, this hand marked the start of the avalanche. Moneymaker never looked back and won the tournament.
I think that whether you like him or not, this one win, along with a convergence of many other factors, proved to be the ultimate catalyst for the growth of poker worldwide. Prior to this, the only consistent larger buy-in tournaments were held at the WSOP. The WPT was still in its infancy and struggling to gain a foothold. PokerStars was in a losing struggle with PartyPoker for online supremacy and the EPT APPT and all of the other PS PT’s weren’t yet around. Another big time innovation of this era was the lipstick cam which made players holecards available to the viewing public. This apparently turned a boring game into an exciting spectator sport. Kinda weird when you consider that one of ESPN’s current features is taking one hand and forcing the audience to guess one of the player’s holecards. Kinda wish that I had this information at every tournament (sigh). Bugger, off topic again.
So back to Chris. His win, and the manner in which he was portrayed by ESPN, launched everyone’s dreams of winning the big one, a big one, any big one. Poker attendance at large buy-in tournaments exploded, firstly from satellites from on-line sites into major tournaments and lately by more and more people being willing to shell out that kinda money on their own.
The numbers at the WSOP increased exponentially until ‘07, but have still far eclipsed any numbers that existed prior to 2003. Instead of 800 players, multiple thousands play the main event every year. Prestigious Tourney or Donkament, take your pick. Who would have thought that a single poker tournaments would take more than 9 days to play down to a winner.
Without Chris’ win, this likely would have happened anyway, but possibly on a more limited scale. A classic David v. Goliath story which has benefitted everyone who has played. More players, more opportunities to play, more training materials, more discussion more everything poker. Good deal for me, you and all of us playing in smaller centres.
Personally, I’m not sure I like Moneymaker. He always has this sad puppy dog look on his face whenever he appears on TV. C’mon man, your living the dream. You’re living proof that anyone can make it, with a little luck and a lot of skill and maybe just a little more luck to take you over the top.
He has contributed enormously to the poker landscape, good player or bad. I don’t think that enough people, normal players, appreciate him as much as they probably should. As well, even if he is the biggest donkey in the world, he pulled off one of the greatest bluffs in the game, on the largest stage in the world at that time. Win or lose that hand, you gotta admire the man’s cojones. Either that or his IQ is low enough for him not to know the difference.
Over to you, Darryl? ...... Cole? ....... Duane?
BAD BEAT, OR NOT BAD BEAT. THAT IS THE QUESTION. (Shakespeare must be turning in his grave, but that's all I got).
My opinion of what a bad beat is differs somewhat from Darryl’s. I’m not sure exactly why he limits his definition of what constitutes a "bad beat" to a hand where more than one decision point exists, but I disagree.
A "bad beat" for me is anytime that I am a mathematical favorite over an opponents hand where my hand fails to hold up, and my opponent hits his 2 or 3 outer. This can happen at any point in the hand, but you still have to start somewhere. I'm not talking about races (50/50 or close enough as to make no difference). Those still hurt, but they aren't bad beats. I'm talking about true favorites, crushing favorites. Those times where your hand is a 70% to 90% favorite pre-flop, and just get killed.
If your AA holds up against KK, that’s called a cold deck, but that’s a discussion for another time.
However, when cracked, why would it make a difference if your AA got cracked by KK on the flop, turn or river. Either way, you were a mathematical favorite (4-1) to win the hand to its conclusion. Your opponent (discounting any flush or straight possibilities) needs to hit one of 2 cards to win. Pre-flop the flush and straights don’t add much more than about 4% to your chances, so take that into consideration. For Daryl, getting all the money in Pre-flop and losing with your AA is not a bad beat. I, of course, disagree.
I really don’t think it matters whether or not the action is limited to the flop or goes beyond 1st street to the river, to determine whether a bad beat has occurred. For me the mathematics of the situation must be taken into consideration at all of the decision points (be they 1 in number, or four). Going all in pre-flop doesn’t end the question. 5 other cards are still to come. What matters is how much a favorite you happen to be at the time that the money goes all in.
For instance, I played a hand with Bob C on Friday with the following result.
I limped from middle position with 55 with four other people in the pot, including Bob. The flop came 652 rainbow. I got two checks in front of me, including Bob and bet out about ½ the size of the pot. Only Bob called.
My assessment of the situation is that I was ahead with my flopped set, with a very vague sense that I was in trouble. Bob was in early position (one of the blinds) and could be playing anything. But I was still well ahead of most of his range.
Turn came a 3. Bob bet out immediately. I re-raised. Bob went all in. I had him covered, but would be left with only a couple of K if I lost. Looked like I was beat, but Bob’s all-in was giving me the equivalent of 3-1 on my money and I had outs even if he had hit the straight. I also had trouble with Bob holding any hand with a 4 in it, except maybe A-4 and 44.
Pre-flop, I couldn’t narrow Bob’s range down much, but likely two high cards with an A, or A-baby. Small pocket pair was possible, as were a couple of suited connectors. Thinking on my cards, Bob couldn’t limit my hand much either. Pre-flop was a bust. On the flop, I could be taking a stab with just about anything. The turn was where we both defined our hands. My re-raise shouted strength, his all-in shouted the nuts. Most times, I would believe him, but I still had trouble with this one. A hand with a 4 in it was just such a stretch. I was hoping to see an over pair or a top pair top kicker type hand.
Of course, he had hit his gutterball with his 84 off. Here are the odds. Pre-flop (totally meaningless here as we both limped and other hands are no taken into consideration) 55 v. 84 is an 81% favorite. After the flop, the 55 is a 74% favorite. On the turn (with one card to come) the 8-4 is a 70% favorite.
There is the hand. Who got Bad Beat, if anyone.
To let you all know, the river paired with a 2 and Bob was gone early in the tournament, and I had a very sick feeling in the pit of my stomach.
Frankly, I don’t think that there was a bad beat in this hand, although Bob may disagree. Looking at the hand, after the flop came, Bob was shooting to hit one of three outs and chose to call a ½ pot size bet. He hit, leaving me with a re-draw. Which I then hit. This is one of those suck - re-suck situations. But I question Bob for playing the 8-4 post flop when faced with a substantial bet. He definitely was not getting the odds.
On the other side, and in Bob’s favor, he was playing against me. Meaning if he actually hit his hand, his implied odds were likely enormous. He could easily think he could stack me if I had any reasonable type hand, although he must have had a very good enough read on me to suggest that my hand was strong enough to call an all-in for 90% of my stack. I’m thinking that nothing short of trips in this situation would get me to re-raise him on the turn and commit so much of my stack that I was going all-in regardless.
Bob played the hand well, for what it was. He got me to pot commit myself while I was a substantial underdog, but with a healthy re-draw. Oh well, that’s poker.
The main point here is that starting hand selection is critically important in Texas Hold’em, both from a playing point of view, as well as a strategic analysis of what your opponents might be playing.
Bob’s hand here was likely in the absolute bottom percentile of his likely hands post-flop. Difficult to read, but also critically weak. Without the required 884 flop, what are you actually trying to hit? Also, what do you expect your opponent to be playing where you are secure enough in your hand to put all of your money in the middle at any point in the hand.
Bob’s hand was tough to read. When he went all in, he either had a 4 in his hand, a bigger set, a lower set, 2 pair or absolute air. Most of the 2 pair hands I could eliminate. 66, 44 and A-4 were the only truly dangerous hands. Also, while I couldn’t be sure of what he had, I also placed a very low percentage on the possibility of a bluff. Ergo, he had a 4 and I was currently beat, but with enough chances that his hand was worse than mine, and a big enough pot, to make the call.
So, while Bob may think he got nailed by a bad beat, he played a really weak hand where he was a substantial underdog at the start. He called a big bet while still being a substantial underdog. Got all of his money in as a favorite. Lost to a re-draw, where the re-draw was at least 3 times more likely than his original draw to the straight. (3 outs v. 10 outs). No bad beat. Except that he got me to commit most of my chips as an underdog, dammit. How’d he do that? (LOL).
BTW, Darryl, you were a 65% favorite to win that pot pre-flop. Less than 3% of the time you ould be beat, and 32% of the time you chop. On the flop, you were a a 97% favorite. So, yes, a bad beat at all stages.



